NIST AI Risk Management Framework
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  • NIST AI Risk Management Framework
  • GRN 1: Risk Management Documentation
    • GRN 1.1 - AI Legal and Regulatory Requirements
    • GRN 1.2 - Trustworthy AI Characteristics
    • GRN 1.3 - Transparent Risk Management
    • GRN 1.4 - Risk Management Monitoring
  • GRN 2: AI Organisation Structure
    • GRN 2.1 - Roles and Responsibilities
    • GRN 2.2 - AI Risk Management Training
    • GRN 2.3 - Executive Responsibility
  • GRN 3: AI Internal Stakeholders
    • GRN 3.1 - AI Risk Decisions Making
  • GRN 4: Organisational Commitments
    • GRN 4.1 - AI Risk Organisational Practices
    • GRN 4.2 - AI Organisational Documentation
    • GRN 4.3 - Organisational Information Sharing Mechnism
  • GRN 5: Stakeholder Engagement
    • GRN 5.1 - External Stakeholder Policies
    • GRN 5.2 - Stakeholder Feedback Integration
  • GRN 6: Managing 3rd-Party Risk
    • GRN 6.1 - 3rd Party Risk Policies
    • GRN 6.2 - 3rd Party Contingency
  • MAP 1: AI Application Context
    • MAP 1.1 - Intended Purpose of AI Use
    • MAP 1.2 - Inter-disciplinary AI Stakeholders
    • MAP 1.3 - AI's Business Value
    • MAP 1.4 - Organisations AI Mission
    • MAP 1.5 - Organisations Risk Tolerance
    • MAP 1.6 - Stakeholder Engagements
    • MAP 1.7 - AI System Requirements
  • MAP 2: AI Application Classification
    • MAP 2.1 - AI Classification
    • MAP 2.2 - AI Usage by Humans
    • MAP 2.3 - TEVV Documentation
  • MAP 3: AI Benefits and Costs
    • MAP 3.1 - AI System Benefits
    • MAP 3.2 - AI Potential Costs
    • MAP 3.3 - AI Application Scope
  • MAP 4: 3rd-Party Risks and Benefits
    • MAP 4.1 - Mapping 3rd-Party Risk
    • MAP 4.2 - Internal Risk Controls for 3rd Party Risk
  • MAP 5: AI Impacts
    • MAP 5.1 - AI Positive or Negative Impacts
    • MAP 5.2 - Likelihood and Magnitude of Each Impact
    • MAP 5.3 - Benefits vs Impacts
  • MRE 1: Appropriate Methods and Metrics
    • MRE 1.1 - Approaches and Metrics
    • MRE 1.2 - Metrics Appropriateness and Effectiveness
    • MRE 1.3 - Stakeholder Assessment Consultation
  • MRE 2: Trustworthy Evaluation
    • MRE 2.1 - Tools for TEVV
    • MRE 2.2 - Evaluations of Human Subjects
    • MRE 2.3 - System Performance
    • MRE 2.4 - Deployment Valid and Reliable
    • MRE 2.5 - Regular Evaluation of AI Systems
    • MRE 2.6 - Evaluation of Computational Bias
    • MRE 2.7 - Evaluation of Security and Resilience
    • MRE 2.8 - Evaluation of AI Models
    • MRE 2.9 - Evaluation of AI Privacy Risks
    • MRE 2.10 - Environmental Impact
  • MRE 3: Risk Tracking Mechanism
    • MRE 3.1 - Risk Tracking and Management
    • MRE 3.2 - Risk Tracking Assessments
  • MRE 4: Measurement Feedback
    • MRE 4.1 - Measurement Approaches for Identifying Risk
    • MRE 4.2 - Measurement Approaches for Trustworthiness
    • MRE 4.3 - Measurable Performance Improvements
  • MGE 1: Managing AI Risk
    • MGE 1.1 - Development and Deployment Decision
    • MGE 1.2 - Risk Mitigation Activities
    • MGE 1.3 - Risk Management of Mapped Risks
  • MGE 2: Managing AI Benefits and Impacts
    • MGE 2.1 - Allocated Resources for Risk Management
    • MGE 2.2 - Sustained Value Mechanism
    • MGE 2.3 - AI Deactivation Mechanism
  • MGE 3: Managing 3rd-Party Risk
    • MGE 3.1 - 3rd Party Risk are Managed
  • MGE 4: Reporting Risk Management
    • MGE 4.1 - Post-Deployment Risk Management
    • MGE 4.2 - Measurable Continuous Improvements
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  1. MAP 5: AI Impacts

MAP 5.2 - Likelihood and Magnitude of Each Impact

NIST AI RMF (in the playbook companion) states:

MAP 5.2

Likelihood and magnitude of each identified impact based on expected use, past uses of AI systems in similar contexts, public incident reports, stakeholder feedback, or other data are identified and documented.

About

The likelihood of AI system impacts identified in Map 5.1 should be evaluated. Potential impacts should be documented and triaged.

Likelihood estimates may then be assessed and judged for go/no-go decisions about deploying an AI system. If an organization decides to proceed with deploying the system, the likelihood estimate can be used to assign oversight resources appropriate for the risk level.

Actions
  • Establish assessment scales for measuring AI system impact. Scales may be qualitative, such as red-amber-green (RAG), or may entail simulations or econometric approaches. Document and apply scales uniformly across the organization’s AI portfolio.

  • Apply impact assessments regularly at key stages in the AI lifecycle, connected to system impacts and frequency of system updates.

  • Assess system benefits and negative impacts in relation to trustworthy characteristics.

Transparency and Documentation

Organizations can document the following:

  • Which population(s) does the AI system impact?

  • What assessments has the entity conducted on data security and privacy impacts associated with the AI system?

  • Can the AI system be audited by independent third parties?

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Last updated 2 years ago